Sunday, April 19, 2009

The Rule of 72

“The keys to patience are acceptance and faith. Accept things as they are, and look realistically at the world around you. Have faith in yourself and in the direction you have chosen.” ~Ralph Marston

Earlier this week, I was asked the question, "Do you know what the rule of 72 is?"  I thought about it and promptly responded back with "of course", followed by my rendition of the answer to that question.  However, the person I discussed this with stated that over 90% of the people, he asked that question, did not know the answer.  This is quite staggering to me due to the fact that this is a very simple idea and it is very valuable to know in terms of investing.  

The definition for the rule of 72 is listed below:
The rule of 72, is a method for estimating an investment's doubling time. The number, 72, is divided by the interest percentage per period to obtain the approximate number of periods (usually years) required for doubling.  (Source)

For those who understand formulas, it looks like the following:

(Years to Double) = 72 / Interest Rate

View the following example for further clarification:

HSBCDirect offers you an unlimited length Certificate of Deposit (CD) for 4% Annual Percentage Yield (APY).  If you just deposited $10,000 and wanted to know how long it would take to double into $20,000, you could use the following formula below to calculate it:

72 / 4 = Approximately 18 years to double.

To get a more exact amount of time to use for doubling, you can use the "Future Value" (FV) formula.  

FV = Present Value x ((1 + Interest Rate)^N)
(Where N is the Number of Years)

To calculate the number of years, you can use the following formula (just solving for # of years):

ln(FV/PV) / ln(1+I) = N
(Where PV is Present Value)

Using the numbers from the previous example, you get the following:

ln(20000/10000) / ln(1+.04) = N
17.673 = N

As listed above, the interest rate is represented in terms of the actual decimal number rather than the whole integer value.

As you can see from the two formulas, there is a lot more complexity to get a more exact estimate of time.  However, using the "rule of 72" can give you a quick estimate when weighing your investment options and correctly balance the amount of risk you take with an expected return.

If you have anymore comments or any other shortcuts or rules you know about in regards to investing, please leave them in the comments below.

Stay Disciplined!

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